(VAN) Viet Nam’s coffee exports are expected to yield this year, with the past nine months bringing in nearly 7 billion USD, up over 61% compared to the same period in 2024.
According to the Agency of Foreign Trade (Ministry of Industry and Trade), Viet Nam’s coffee exports in September 2025 are estimated at 84 thousand tons, worth 477 million USD, up 63.5% in volume and 66.3% in value compared to September 2024.
For the first nine months of 2025, coffee exports are estimated at 1.23 million tons, worth 6.98 billion USD, up 11.1% in volume and a sharp 61.4% in value compared to the same period in 2024.
The average export price of Vietnamese coffee in September 2025 is estimated at 5,679 USD per ton, up 3.8% from August 2025 and 1.7% from September 2024. As of the end of September 2025, the average export price is estimated at 5,658 USD per ton, up 45.3% year-on-year.
In the first eight months of 2025, Viet Nam’s coffee exports maintained growth across most product categories, except for Excelsa. Robusta coffee exports remained the mainstay, reaching nearly 950 thousand tons worth 4.91 billion USD, up 5.8% in volume and a strong 57.3% in value thanks to higher export prices.
Coffee harvesting in Gia Lai. Photo: Duc Hoa/ VnExpress.
Viet Nam’s Arabica coffee exports also recorded strong growth, reaching 60.5 thousand tons worth 401.3 million USD, up 13.2% in volume and 120.3% in value compared to the same period in 2024.
Notably, processed coffee exports in the first eight months of 2025 have emerged as a new growth driver for the industry, reaching 1.18 billion USD, an increase of 63.5% year-on-year. This result highlights the initial effectiveness of policies encouraging deep processing, helping to boost added value and gradually reposition Viet Nam’s coffee in the global market.
However, to maintain a sustainable competitive advantage, the coffee sector still faces major challenges in processing capacity, quality standardization, and building a national brand.
On the world market, coffee prices fell sharply at the end of September 2025 due to multiple factors. Global financial markets experienced volatility after the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by another 0.25 percentage point and signaled at least two more rounds of easing this year. This decision triggered capital shifts, prompting sell-offs on commodity exchanges, including coffee.
Supply prospects improved significantly, especially in Viet Nam and Brazil. With favorable weather and increased investment from farmers, Viet Nam’s coffee output for the 2025-2026 crop year is forecast to reach 1.76 million tons, equivalent to 29.4 million 60-kg bags, up 6% from last year. This would mark the largest harvest since the 2021–2022 crop, easing supply shortage pressures on the market.
Meanwhile, demand has slowed as previously high prices caused many roasters and processors to delay purchases, waiting for prices to adjust.
In the short term, global coffee prices are expected to remain under downward pressure due to abundant supply from the new harvest. However, stronger demand during the year-end holiday season will provide momentum for prices to rebound.
In the short term, global coffee prices are expected to remain under pressure due to abundant supply from the new harvest. However, rising demand during the year-end holiday season will provide momentum for prices to recover soon.
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